FORGE Performance & Accountability

FORGE publishes a projection before kickoff, freezes it, and then grades it against the official final score. Nothing is rewritten once a result is known. This page shows the complete graded record first, then every individual game behind it.

2026 winner record: 59-46-1; Graded published projections
Winner accuracy: 56.2%; Across 106 graded games
Mean margin error: 9.7 pts; Projected margin vs actual margin
Last graded: Oct 27, 2026; Model 6.1.9, 6.2.0-raw.1

Live 2026 results

Predictions that FORGE actually published before kickoff and graded afterwards. This is the record shown above.

Historical backtest

The FORGE model rerun over 2021–2025 under strict historical chronology. Clearly labelled Backtest — reconstructed output, never an original published pregame prediction.

Reference benchmark

A locked, owner-supplied reference figure kept entirely separate from FORGE model output. It is never merged with the backtest.

2026 Season Performance

Completed games are graded as final results become available; games still to be played are excluded. The performance record can update during an NFL week. This is different from Team and Player Power Rankings and weekly model scores, which update only after the full NFL week closes and the weekly FORGE refresh and validation are complete.

Week-by-week graded performance
Week	Graded	Record	Accuracy	Mean margin error
Week 1	16	7-9	43.8%	12.6 pts
Week 2	16	9-7	56.3%	12.5 pts
Week 3	16	9-7	56.3%	8.3 pts
Week 4	16	11-5	68.8%	5.9 pts
Week 5	15	9-5	64.3%	10.6 pts
Week 6	14	8-6	57.1%	6.5 pts
Week 7	13	6-7	46.2%	11.3 pts

Every graded game this season
Week	Matchup	FORGE pick	Projected	Final	Result	Margin error
1	NE @ SEA	SEA	23–25	10–13	Correct	0.6 pts
1	SF @ LAR	LAR	23–27	27–7	Miss	23.8 pts
1	NYJ @ TEN	TEN	20–22	23–10	Miss	14.8 pts
1	NO @ DET	DET	20–26	30–31	Correct	4.7 pts
1	BUF @ HOU	HOU	23–23	36–31	Miss	5.4 pts
1	ATL @ PIT	PIT	21–24	13–20	Correct	3.6 pts
1	CHI @ CAR	CHI	26–22	59–37	Correct	17.9 pts
1	TB @ CIN	CIN	25–27	27–33	Correct	4.5 pts
1	BAL @ IND	IND	25–27	41–23	Miss	20 pts
1	CLE @ JAX	JAX	17–24	10–34	Correct	17.1 pts
1	MIA @ LV	MIA	21–18	13–27	Miss	16.9 pts
1	WAS @ PHI	PHI	21–24	22–24	Correct	0.7 pts
1	ARI @ LAC	LAC	19–26	26–14	Miss	18.6 pts
1	GB @ MIN	GB	22–19	22–39	Miss	20.3 pts
1	DAL @ NYG	DAL	28–27	20–28	Miss	8.7 pts
1	DEN @ KC	DEN	22–19	10–31	Miss	24.4 pts
2	DET @ BUF	BUF	24–25	31–41	Correct	8.9 pts
2	NO @ BAL	BAL	17–20	24–17	Miss	9.6 pts
2	CIN @ HOU	HOU	18–23	20–6	Miss	18.5 pts
2	CAR @ ATL	ATL	20–21	34–3	Miss	31.8 pts
2	MIN @ CHI	CHI	18–22	9–3	Miss	9.8 pts
2	CLE @ TB	TB	19–20	23–19	Miss	5.3 pts
2	PIT @ NE	NE	19–21	3–20	Correct	15.3 pts
2	PHI @ TEN	PHI	19–18	24–20	Correct	3.1 pts
2	GB @ NYJ	GB	21–17	20–17	Correct	0.9 pts
2	LV @ LAC	LAC	13–18	26–14	Miss	17.3 pts
2	JAX @ DEN	DEN	18–20	13–20	Correct	5.1 pts
2	SEA @ ARI	SEA	22–17	31–7	Correct	18.6 pts
2	WAS @ DAL	DAL	23–24	20–37	Correct	15.5 pts
2	MIA @ SF	SF	18–21	13–35	Correct	19.5 pts
2	IND @ KC	IND	22–21	30–33	Miss	3.9 pts
2	NYG @ LAR	LAR	20–25	6–28	Correct	17.1 pts
3	ATL @ GB	GB	16–20	35–14	Miss	24.8 pts
3	TEN @ NYG	NYG	17–18	7–12	Correct	4.5 pts
3	CIN @ PIT	PIT	17–19	27–30	Correct	1.3 pts
3	HOU @ IND	HOU	19–19	17–19	Miss	2.4 pts
3	NYJ @ DET	DET	16–21	24–31	Correct	2.2 pts
3	SEA @ WAS	SEA	19–17	31–33	Miss	4.4 pts
3	NE @ JAX	JAX	17–18	6–35	Correct	27.6 pts
3	LAC @ BUF	BUF	18–20	16–24	Correct	6.1 pts
3	KC @ MIA	MIA	17–17	24–10	Miss	14.1 pts
3	CAR @ CLE	CLE	16–17	18–21	Correct	2.1 pts
3	MIN @ TB	TB	15–16	23–16	Miss	7.9 pts
3	ARI @ SF	SF	16–20	30–36	Correct	2 pts
3	LV @ NO	NO	12–14	35–27	Miss	9.9 pts
3	BAL @ DAL	DAL	19–20	34–31	Miss	3.5 pts
3	LAR @ DEN	DEN	18–19	26–30	Correct	2.6 pts
3	PHI @ CHI	CHI	17–20	7–27	Correct	17 pts
4	PIT @ CLE	PIT	—	24–27	Miss	5.3 pts
4	IND @ WAS	IND	—	30–13	Correct	14.9 pts
4	DAL @ HOU	HOU	—	34–30	Miss	8.1 pts
4	GB @ TB	GB	—	17–14	Correct	1.6 pts
4	ARI @ NYG	NYG	—	24–36	Correct	11.1 pts
4	NE @ BUF	BUF	—	29–26	Miss	4.5 pts
4	LAR @ PHI	LAR	—	24–20	Correct	0.3 pts
4	TEN @ BAL	BAL	—	18–24	Correct	0.6 pts
4	NYJ @ CHI	CHI	—	12–23	Correct	4.1 pts
4	JAX @ CIN	JAX	—	22–17	Correct	0.9 pts
4	MIA @ MIN	MIN	—	10–15	Correct	0.5 pts
4	LAC @ SEA	SEA	—	23–30	Correct	1.3 pts
4	KC @ LV	KC	—	30–27	Correct	1.7 pts
4	DEN @ SF	SF	—	14–24	Correct	8.9 pts
4	DET @ CAR	DET	—	26–32	Miss	8.9 pts
4	ATL @ NO	NO	—	45–24	Miss	22.2 pts
5	TB @ DAL	DAL	17–20	24–16	Miss	11 pts
5	PHI @ JAX	JAX	12–16	17–19	Correct	1.5 pts
5	HOU @ TEN	HOU	14–13	26–3	Correct	21.5 pts
5	CIN @ MIA	MIA	16–16	31–24	Miss	7.4 pts
5	IND @ PIT	PIT	16–17	22–34	Correct	11 pts
5	MIN @ NO	NO	12–13	23–13	Miss	10.6 pts
5	NYG @ WAS	WAS	16–17	27–27	Tie	1.7 pts
5	CLE @ NYJ	NYJ	13–14	12–17	Correct	3.9 pts
5	LV @ NE	NE	12–15	17–45	Correct	24.6 pts
5	DEN @ LAC	DEN	14–14	23–17	Correct	5.7 pts
5	DET @ ARI	DET	20–17	45–21	Correct	20.8 pts
5	CHI @ GB	GB	16–16	7–31	Correct	24 pts
5	SF @ SEA	SEA	13–15	32–29	Miss	5.3 pts
5	BAL @ ATL	BAL	16–14	30–23	Correct	5.9 pts
5	BUF @ LAR	LAR	17–18	37–34	Miss	3.9 pts
6	SEA @ DEN	DEN	13–13	14–17	Correct	2.8 pts
6	HOU @ JAX	HOU	12–11	34–31	Correct	2.4 pts
6	TEN @ IND	IND	14–16	26–20	Miss	7.4 pts
6	CHI @ ATL	CHI	15–14	31–23	Correct	6.2 pts
6	CAR @ PHI	PHI	14–15	25–14	Miss	11.8 pts
6	NO @ NYG	NYG	14–15	34–27	Miss	8.1 pts
6	PIT @ TB	PIT	15–14	26–19	Correct	5.6 pts
6	NYJ @ NE	NE	12–14	19–26	Correct	5.1 pts
6	BAL @ CLE	BAL	14–13	10–13	Miss	3.8 pts
6	ARI @ LAR	LAR	16–19	18–16	Miss	5.5 pts
6	BUF @ LV	BUF	16–14	33–30	Correct	1.4 pts
6	LAC @ KC	KC	13–14	6–22	Correct	15.6 pts
6	DAL @ GB	DAL	16–16	13–23	Miss	10.2 pts
6	WAS @ SF	SF	15–16	17–23	Correct	5.3 pts
7	PIT @ NO	PIT	14–11	16–10	Correct	3.6 pts
7	IND @ MIN	IND	13–12	10–16	Miss	6.9 pts
7	MIA @ NYJ	NYJ	13–14	28–25	Miss	3.1 pts
7	SF @ ATL	SF	14–12	20–29	Miss	10.5 pts
7	NYG @ HOU	HOU	11–15	27–21	Miss	10.2 pts
7	CLE @ TEN	TEN	11–13	27–24	Miss	4.9 pts
7	TB @ CAR	CAR	13–14	43–13	Miss	31 pts
7	CIN @ BAL	BAL	15–15	35–13	Miss	22.9 pts
7	DEN @ ARI	DEN	15–13	30–16	Correct	11.2 pts
7	GB @ DET	DET	14–17	17–20	Correct	0.3 pts
7	LAR @ LV	LAR	14–13	35–21	Correct	12.8 pts
7	KC @ SEA	SEA	11–13	3–20	Correct	14.5 pts
7	DAL @ PHI	DAL	16–14	38–21	Correct	15.3 pts

Historical Backtest 2021–2025

Backtest

The FORGE model rerun over a locked set of past regular-season games under strict historical chronology: nothing after each kickoff was available to the model. These are reconstructed results labelled Backtest. They are not original published pregame predictions, and they are kept entirely separate from the live record above.

Games evaluated: 1334; Locked forge-validation-2021-2025 set rev 1
Straight-up accuracy: 62.97%; 840.0 correct-equivalent, ties count as half
Mean margin error: 10.25 pts; RMSE 13.11
Probability quality: 0.2254; Brier · log loss 0.6427

Backtest results by season
Season	Games	Accuracy	Mean margin error	Brier
2021	269	59.29%	11.21 pts	0.2343
2022	266	62.41%	9.17 pts	0.2258
2023	267	62.55%	10.46 pts	0.2320
2024	267	68.16%	9.96 pts	0.2116
2025	265	62.45%	10.43 pts	0.2232

Model 6.1.9 · run type backtest · status complete, leakage check passed · 1334 stored game records · completed Sep 14, 2026 · run ID b2811cf6-9343-4bef-8d10-a1a09e674466. Per-game score projections were not materialised for this historical run, so no projected scores are shown.

Reference benchmarks

Locked reference figures recorded separately from FORGE model output. They are never merged with the backtest above.

Baseline A — Home Team Only — 53.97% (720.0 of 1334), 2021-2025

Historical Data Coverage 2021–2025

Factual history — the authoritative schedule, teams, kickoff and official final score for every regular-season game — is imported from an authoritative source and is separate from any model output. Historical model evaluation is labelled backtest or historical replay and is never presented as a prediction published before those kickoffs.

Historical factual and model coverage by season
Season	Factual games	Final scores	Factual status	Model records
2021	272	272	Complete	269
2022	271	271	Complete	266
2023	272	272	Complete	267
2024	272	272	Complete	267
2025	272	272	Complete	265

1359 regular-season games are stored across 2021–2025. Stored historical model records are labelled by run type in the sections above.

Historical Game-by-Game Archive

Backtest

Every game in the locked 2021–2025 evaluation set, reconstructed under strict historical chronology and graded against the official final score. These are Backtest rows, not predictions FORGE published before those kickoffs. Per-game score projections were not produced for the historical run, so only the projected margin and win probability are shown.

2025 backtest week-by-week rollup
Week	Games	Accuracy	Mean margin error
Week 1	15	53.3%	7.0 pts
Week 2	16	62.5%	9.4 pts
Week 3	16	56.3%	12.8 pts
Week 4	15	50.0%	10.9 pts
Week 5	13	30.8%	11.6 pts
Week 6	14	64.3%	9.3 pts
Week 7	14	57.1%	12.7 pts
Week 8	13	84.6%	14.5 pts
Week 9	14	71.4%	9.5 pts
Week 10	13	76.9%	9.8 pts
Week 11	14	71.4%	9.3 pts
Week 12	14	71.4%	8.0 pts
Week 13	16	68.8%	10.0 pts
Week 14	14	57.1%	12.4 pts
Week 15	16	68.8%	10.0 pts
Week 16	16	56.3%	11.8 pts
Week 17	16	56.3%	10.3 pts
Week 18	16	68.8%	9.1 pts

265 backtest games shown · 165-99-1 straight up.

2025 backtest game-by-game records
Week	Matchup	Backtest winner	Home win prob.	Proj. margin	Final	Actual margin	Margin error	Result
1	DAL @ PHI	PHI	68.9%	+6.0	20–24	+4	2.0 pts	Correct
1	PIT @ NYJ	NYJ	50.2%	+0.1	34–32	-2	2.1 pts	Miss
1	TB @ ATL	TB	41.5%	-2.6	23–20	-3	0.4 pts	Correct
1	ARI @ NO	ARI	48.5%	-0.5	20–13	-7	6.5 pts	Correct
1	LV @ NE	NE	52.4%	+0.7	20–13	-7	7.7 pts	Miss
1	CIN @ CLE	CIN	39.5%	-3.2	17–16	-1	2.2 pts	Correct
1	MIA @ IND	MIA	48.5%	-0.5	8–33	+25	25.5 pts	Miss
1	NYG @ WAS	WAS	66.0%	+5.0	6–21	+15	10.0 pts	Correct
1	CAR @ JAX	JAX	60.9%	+3.3	10–26	+16	12.7 pts	Correct
1	SF @ SEA	SEA	56.2%	+1.9	17–13	-4	5.9 pts	Miss
1	TEN @ DEN	DEN	70.0%	+6.4	12–20	+8	1.6 pts	Correct
1	DET @ GB	DET	39.6%	-3.2	13–27	+14	17.2 pts	Miss
1	HOU @ LAR	HOU	43.5%	-2.0	9–14	+5	7.0 pts	Miss
1	BAL @ BUF	BAL	43.8%	-1.9	40–41	+1	2.9 pts	Miss
1	MIN @ CHI	MIN	43.7%	-1.9	27–24	-3	1.1 pts	Correct
2	WAS @ GB	WAS	45.8%	-1.3	18–27	+9	10.3 pts	Miss
2	CHI @ DET	DET	69.0%	+6.0	21–52	+31	25.0 pts	Correct
2	LAR @ TEN	LAR	42.1%	-2.4	33–19	-14	11.6 pts	Correct
2	NYG @ DAL	DAL	63.9%	+4.3	37–40	+3	1.3 pts	Correct
2	NE @ MIA	NE	46.7%	-1.0	33–27	-6	5.0 pts	Correct
2	CLE @ BAL	BAL	74.9%	+8.2	17–41	+24	15.8 pts	Correct
2	BUF @ NYJ	NYJ	53.2%	+0.9	30–10	-20	20.9 pts	Miss
2	SF @ NO	NO	51.7%	+0.5	26–21	-5	5.5 pts	Miss
2	SEA @ PIT	PIT	57.6%	+2.3	31–17	-14	16.3 pts	Miss
2	JAX @ CIN	CIN	51.3%	+0.4	27–31	+4	3.6 pts	Correct
2	DEN @ IND	DEN	40.9%	-2.8	28–29	+1	3.8 pts	Miss
2	CAR @ ARI	ARI	64.8%	+4.6	22–27	+5	0.4 pts	Correct
2	PHI @ KC	PHI	43.8%	-1.9	20–17	-3	1.1 pts	Correct
2	ATL @ MIN	MIN	59.2%	+2.8	22–6	-16	18.8 pts	Miss
2	TB @ HOU	TB	45.3%	-1.4	20–19	-1	0.4 pts	Correct
2	LAC @ LV	LAC	47.1%	-0.9	20–9	-11	10.1 pts	Correct
3	MIA @ BUF	BUF	77.3%	+9.2	21–31	+10	0.8 pts	Correct
3	HOU @ JAX	JAX	62.2%	+3.7	10–17	+7	3.3 pts	Correct
3	ATL @ CAR	ATL	36.7%	-4.1	0–30	+30	34.1 pts	Miss
3	CIN @ MIN	CIN	48.5%	-0.4	10–48	+38	38.4 pts	Miss
3	LAR @ PHI	PHI	57.4%	+2.2	26–33	+7	4.8 pts	Correct
3	NYJ @ TB	TB	65.0%	+4.6	27–29	+2	2.6 pts	Correct
3	PIT @ NE	NE	57.7%	+2.3	21–14	-7	9.3 pts	Miss
3	IND @ TEN	IND	25.0%	-8.3	41–20	-21	12.7 pts	Correct
3	GB @ CLE	GB	25.6%	-8.0	10–13	+3	11.0 pts	Miss
3	LV @ WAS	WAS	60.3%	+3.1	24–41	+17	13.9 pts	Correct
3	DEN @ LAC	DEN	48.5%	-0.4	20–23	+3	3.4 pts	Miss
3	NO @ SEA	SEA	62.9%	+4.0	13–44	+31	27.0 pts	Correct
3	ARI @ SF	SF	58.0%	+2.4	15–16	+1	1.4 pts	Correct
3	DAL @ CHI	DAL	36.3%	-4.2	14–31	+17	21.2 pts	Miss
3	KC @ NYG	KC	41.2%	-2.7	22–9	-13	10.3 pts	Correct
3	DET @ BAL	BAL	58.8%	+2.7	38–30	-8	10.7 pts	Miss
4	SEA @ ARI	SEA	35.4%	-4.5	23–20	-3	1.5 pts	Correct
4	TEN @ HOU	HOU	69.7%	+6.2	0–26	+26	19.8 pts	Correct
4	WAS @ ATL	WAS	34.1%	-4.9	27–34	+7	11.9 pts	Miss
4	CLE @ DET	DET	76.4%	+8.8	10–34	+24	15.2 pts	Correct
4	PHI @ TB	PHI	49.4%	-0.2	31–25	-6	5.8 pts	Correct
4	NO @ BUF	BUF	78.1%	+9.5	19–31	+12	2.5 pts	Correct
4	CAR @ NE	NE	56.8%	+2.0	13–42	+29	27.0 pts	Correct
4	LAC @ NYG	LAC	27.6%	-7.2	18–21	+3	10.2 pts	Miss
4	IND @ LAR	IND	41.5%	-2.6	20–27	+7	9.6 pts	Miss
4	JAX @ SF	SF	52.0%	+0.6	26–21	-5	5.6 pts	Miss
4	BAL @ KC	BAL	44.6%	-1.6	20–37	+17	18.6 pts	Miss
4	CHI @ LV	LV	58.7%	+2.6	25–24	-1	3.6 pts	Miss
4	GB @ DAL	GB	25.9%	-7.9	40–40	0	7.9 pts	Tie
4	NYJ @ MIA	NYJ	41.8%	-2.5	21–27	+6	8.5 pts	Miss
4	CIN @ DEN	DEN	77.5%	+9.3	3–28	+25	15.7 pts	Correct
5	SF @ LAR	LAR	60.8%	+3.3	26–23	-3	6.3 pts	Miss
5	DEN @ PHI	DEN	42.0%	-2.4	21–17	-4	1.6 pts	Correct
5	MIA @ CAR	CAR	53.9%	+1.2	24–27	+3	1.8 pts	Correct
5	HOU @ BAL	BAL	53.2%	+1.0	44–10	-34	35.0 pts	Miss
5	NYG @ NO	NYG	49.7%	-0.1	14–26	+12	12.1 pts	Miss
5	DAL @ NYJ	NYJ	65.7%	+4.9	37–22	-15	19.9 pts	Miss
5	LV @ IND	IND	70.9%	+6.7	6–40	+34	27.3 pts	Correct
5	TEN @ ARI	ARI	69.7%	+6.2	22–21	-1	7.2 pts	Miss
5	TB @ SEA	SEA	63.2%	+4.1	38–35	-3	7.1 pts	Miss
5	WAS @ LAC	LAC	50.0%	+0.0	27–10	-17	17.0 pts	Miss
5	DET @ CIN	DET	19.5%	-10.6	37–24	-13	2.4 pts	Correct
5	NE @ BUF	BUF	69.7%	+6.2	23–20	-3	9.2 pts	Miss
5	KC @ JAX	KC	46.4%	-1.1	28–31	+3	4.1 pts	Miss
6	PHI @ NYG	PHI	29.9%	-6.4	17–34	+17	23.4 pts	Miss
6	NE @ NO	NE	40.3%	-2.9	25–19	-6	3.1 pts	Correct
6	ARI @ IND	IND	80.6%	+10.7	27–31	+4	6.7 pts	Correct
6	DAL @ CAR	DAL	48.1%	-0.6	27–30	+3	3.6 pts	Miss
6	LAR @ BAL	LAR	50.0%	0.0	17–3	-14	14.0 pts	Correct
6	SEA @ JAX	SEA	39.1%	-3.3	20–12	-8	4.7 pts	Correct
6	LAC @ MIA	LAC	33.7%	-5.1	29–27	-2	3.1 pts	Correct
6	CLE @ PIT	PIT	69.3%	+6.1	9–23	+14	7.9 pts	Correct
6	TEN @ LV	LV	62.7%	+3.9	10–20	+10	6.1 pts	Correct
6	SF @ TB	TB	55.3%	+1.6	19–30	+11	9.4 pts	Correct
6	CIN @ GB	GB	84.2%	+12.6	18–27	+9	3.6 pts	Correct
6	DET @ KC	DET	40.3%	-2.9	17–30	+13	15.9 pts	Miss
6	BUF @ ATL	BUF	29.5%	-6.5	14–24	+10	16.5 pts	Miss
6	CHI @ WAS	WAS	82.2%	+11.5	25–24	-1	12.5 pts	Miss
7	PIT @ CIN	PIT	26.2%	-7.8	31–33	+2	9.8 pts	Miss
7	PHI @ MIN	MIN	59.6%	+2.9	28–22	-6	8.9 pts	Miss
7	NO @ CHI	CHI	54.3%	+1.3	14–26	+12	10.7 pts	Correct
7	LV @ KC	KC	72.7%	+7.3	0–31	+31	23.7 pts	Correct
7	MIA @ CLE	MIA	47.7%	-0.7	6–31	+25	25.7 pts	Miss
7	CAR @ NYJ	NYJ	53.2%	+1.0	13–6	-7	8.0 pts	Miss
7	NE @ TEN	NE	25.5%	-8.0	31–13	-18	10.0 pts	Correct
7	IND @ LAC	IND	38.7%	-3.5	38–24	-14	10.5 pts	Correct
7	NYG @ DEN	DEN	81.2%	+11.0	32–33	+1	10.0 pts	Correct
7	WAS @ DAL	WAS	32.4%	-5.5	22–44	+22	27.5 pts	Miss
7	GB @ ARI	GB	24.4%	-8.5	27–23	-4	4.5 pts	Correct
7	ATL @ SF	ATL	42.9%	-2.1	10–20	+10	12.1 pts	Miss
7	TB @ DET	DET	69.8%	+6.3	9–24	+15	8.7 pts	Correct
7	HOU @ SEA	SEA	52.9%	+0.9	19–27	+8	7.1 pts	Correct
8	MIN @ LAC	MIN	41.9%	-2.5	10–37	+27	29.5 pts	Miss
8	CHI @ BAL	BAL	52.5%	+0.7	16–30	+14	13.3 pts	Correct
8	MIA @ ATL	ATL	63.2%	+4.0	34–10	-24	28.0 pts	Miss
8	NYG @ PHI	PHI	62.2%	+3.7	20–38	+18	14.3 pts	Correct
8	CLE @ NE	NE	74.8%	+8.2	13–32	+19	10.8 pts	Correct
8	BUF @ CAR	BUF	35.9%	-4.4	40–9	-31	26.6 pts	Correct
8	SF @ HOU	HOU	70.2%	+6.4	15–26	+11	4.6 pts	Correct
8	NYJ @ CIN	NYJ	45.9%	-1.2	39–38	-1	0.2 pts	Correct
8	TB @ NO	TB	37.1%	-3.9	23–3	-20	16.1 pts	Correct
8	TEN @ IND	IND	88.5%	+15.3	14–38	+24	8.7 pts	Correct
8	DAL @ DEN	DEN	76.8%	+9.0	24–44	+20	11.0 pts	Correct
8	GB @ PIT	GB	39.2%	-3.3	35–25	-10	6.7 pts	Correct
8	WAS @ KC	KC	56.8%	+2.0	7–28	+21	19.0 pts	Correct
9	BAL @ MIA	BAL	41.5%	-2.6	28–6	-22	19.4 pts	Correct
9	LAC @ TEN	LAC	21.5%	-9.7	27–20	-7	2.7 pts	Correct
9	DEN @ HOU	DEN	43.3%	-2.0	18–15	-3	1.0 pts	Correct
9	CAR @ GB	GB	79.5%	+10.1	16–13	-3	13.1 pts	Miss
9	MIN @ DET	DET	78.1%	+9.5	27–24	-3	12.5 pts	Miss
9	SF @ NYG	SF	47.5%	-0.7	34–24	-10	9.3 pts	Correct
9	IND @ PIT	IND	30.2%	-6.3	20–27	+7	13.3 pts	Miss
9	ATL @ NE	NE	73.3%	+7.6	23–24	+1	6.6 pts	Correct
9	CHI @ CIN	CHI	43.1%	-2.1	47–42	-5	2.9 pts	Correct
9	NO @ LAR	LAR	78.2%	+9.6	10–34	+24	14.4 pts	Correct
9	JAX @ LV	JAX	46.4%	-1.1	30–29	-1	0.1 pts	Correct
9	KC @ BUF	BUF	57.6%	+2.3	21–28	+7	4.7 pts	Correct
9	SEA @ WAS	SEA	41.5%	-2.6	38–14	-24	21.4 pts	Correct
9	ARI @ DAL	DAL	53.1%	+0.9	27–17	-10	10.9 pts	Miss
10	LV @ DEN	DEN	83.7%	+12.3	7–10	+3	9.3 pts	Correct
10	NYG @ CHI	CHI	57.9%	+2.4	20–24	+4	1.6 pts	Correct
10	JAX @ HOU	HOU	68.6%	+5.9	29–36	+7	1.1 pts	Correct
10	NO @ CAR	CAR	72.3%	+7.2	17–7	-10	17.2 pts	Miss
10	NE @ TB	NE	41.1%	-2.7	28–23	-5	2.3 pts	Correct
10	CLE @ NYJ	NYJ	60.3%	+3.1	20–27	+7	3.9 pts	Correct
10	BAL @ MIN	BAL	42.1%	-2.4	27–19	-8	5.6 pts	Correct
10	BUF @ MIA	BUF	19.1%	-10.8	13–30	+17	27.8 pts	Miss
10	ARI @ SEA	SEA	75.4%	+8.4	22–44	+22	13.6 pts	Correct
10	LAR @ SF	LAR	34.3%	-4.9	42–26	-16	11.1 pts	Correct
10	DET @ WAS	DET	31.0%	-6.0	44–22	-22	16.0 pts	Correct
10	PIT @ LAC	LAC	58.4%	+2.6	10–25	+15	12.5 pts	Correct
10	PHI @ GB	GB	59.8%	+3.0	10–7	-3	6.0 pts	Miss
11	NYJ @ NE	NE	68.7%	+5.9	14–27	+13	7.1 pts	Correct
11	CHI @ MIN	MIN	53.8%	+1.1	19–17	-2	3.1 pts	Miss
11	CIN @ PIT	PIT	62.3%	+3.8	12–34	+22	18.2 pts	Correct
11	LAC @ JAX	LAC	32.2%	-5.6	6–35	+29	34.6 pts	Miss
11	GB @ NYG	GB	19.4%	-10.7	27–20	-7	3.7 pts	Correct
11	CAR @ ATL	CAR	47.6%	-0.7	30–27	-3	2.3 pts	Correct
11	TB @ BUF	BUF	65.0%	+4.7	32–44	+12	7.3 pts	Correct
11	HOU @ TEN	HOU	17.0%	-11.9	16–13	-3	8.9 pts	Correct
11	SF @ ARI	SF	44.1%	-1.8	41–22	-19	17.2 pts	Correct
11	SEA @ LAR	SEA	46.5%	-1.0	19–21	+2	3.0 pts	Miss
11	KC @ DEN	DEN	63.1%	+4.0	19–22	+3	1.0 pts	Correct
11	BAL @ CLE	BAL	30.9%	-6.1	23–16	-7	0.9 pts	Correct
11	DET @ PHI	DET	44.3%	-1.7	9–16	+7	8.7 pts	Miss
11	DAL @ LV	DAL	38.7%	-3.5	33–16	-17	13.5 pts	Correct
12	BUF @ HOU	BUF	49.3%	-0.2	19–23	+4	4.2 pts	Miss
12	NYG @ DET	DET	80.8%	+10.8	27–34	+7	3.8 pts	Correct
12	PIT @ CHI	PIT	41.7%	-2.5	28–31	+3	5.5 pts	Miss
12	NYJ @ BAL	BAL	68.0%	+5.7	10–23	+13	7.3 pts	Correct
12	NE @ CIN	NE	24.9%	-8.3	26–20	-6	2.3 pts	Correct
12	MIN @ GB	GB	74.0%	+7.8	6–23	+17	9.2 pts	Correct
12	IND @ KC	IND	33.6%	-5.1	20–23	+3	8.1 pts	Miss
12	SEA @ TEN	SEA	13.0%	-14.2	30–24	-6	8.2 pts	Correct
12	JAX @ ARI	JAX	41.9%	-2.5	27–24	-3	0.5 pts	Correct
12	CLE @ LV	CLE	49.2%	-0.3	24–10	-14	13.7 pts	Correct
12	PHI @ DAL	PHI	41.9%	-2.5	21–24	+3	5.5 pts	Miss
12	ATL @ NO	ATL	45.7%	-1.3	24–10	-14	12.7 pts	Correct
12	TB @ LAR	LAR	64.5%	+4.5	7–34	+27	22.5 pts	Correct
12	CAR @ SF	SF	57.9%	+2.4	9–20	+11	8.6 pts	Correct
13	GB @ DET	GB	48.4%	-0.5	31–24	-7	6.5 pts	Correct
13	KC @ DAL	KC	44.7%	-1.6	28–31	+3	4.6 pts	Miss
13	CIN @ BAL	BAL	74.7%	+8.1	32–14	-18	26.1 pts	Miss
13	CHI @ PHI	PHI	64.9%	+4.6	24–15	-9	13.6 pts	Miss
13	HOU @ IND	IND	66.5%	+5.1	20–16	-4	9.1 pts	Miss
13	NO @ MIA	MIA	61.5%	+3.5	17–21	+4	0.5 pts	Correct
13	SF @ CLE	SF	40.2%	-3.0	26–8	-18	15.0 pts	Correct
13	LAR @ CAR	LAR	26.5%	-7.7	28–31	+3	10.7 pts	Miss
13	ARI @ TB	TB	61.5%	+3.5	17–20	+3	0.5 pts	Correct
13	ATL @ NYJ	NYJ	54.1%	+1.2	24–27	+3	1.8 pts	Correct
13	JAX @ TEN	JAX	28.4%	-6.9	25–3	-22	15.1 pts	Correct
13	MIN @ SEA	SEA	81.2%	+11.0	0–26	+26	15.0 pts	Correct
13	LV @ LAC	LAC	78.4%	+9.7	14–31	+17	7.3 pts	Correct
13	BUF @ PIT	BUF	44.5%	-1.7	26–7	-19	17.3 pts	Correct
13	DEN @ WAS	DEN	21.9%	-9.5	27–26	-1	8.5 pts	Correct
13	NYG @ NE	NE	78.8%	+9.9	15–33	+18	8.1 pts	Correct
14	DAL @ DET	DET	70.5%	+6.5	30–44	+14	7.5 pts	Correct
14	WAS @ MIN	WAS	41.8%	-2.5	0–31	+31	33.5 pts	Miss
14	IND @ JAX	IND	29.6%	-6.5	19–36	+17	23.5 pts	Miss
14	MIA @ NYJ	NYJ	54.1%	+1.2	34–10	-24	25.2 pts	Miss
14	NO @ TB	TB	69.2%	+6.1	24–20	-4	10.1 pts	Miss
14	SEA @ ATL	SEA	22.3%	-9.4	37–9	-28	18.6 pts	Correct
14	TEN @ CLE	CLE	68.0%	+5.7	31–29	-2	7.7 pts	Miss
14	PIT @ BAL	BAL	58.9%	+2.7	27–22	-5	7.7 pts	Miss
14	CIN @ BUF	BUF	76.4%	+8.8	34–39	+5	3.8 pts	Correct
14	DEN @ LV	DEN	13.2%	-14.1	24–17	-7	7.1 pts	Correct
14	CHI @ GB	GB	78.2%	+9.6	21–28	+7	2.6 pts	Correct
14	LAR @ ARI	LAR	22.9%	-9.1	45–17	-28	18.9 pts	Correct
14	HOU @ KC	HOU	39.3%	-3.3	20–10	-10	6.7 pts	Correct
14	PHI @ LAC	LAC	59.0%	+2.7	19–22	+3	0.3 pts	Correct
15	ATL @ TB	TB	56.3%	+1.9	29–28	-1	2.9 pts	Miss
15	NYJ @ JAX	JAX	72.5%	+7.3	20–48	+28	20.7 pts	Correct
15	WAS @ NYG	NYG	54.2%	+1.3	29–21	-8	9.3 pts	Miss
15	BAL @ CIN	BAL	36.9%	-4.0	24–0	-24	20.0 pts	Correct
15	BUF @ NE	NE	57.7%	+2.3	35–31	-4	6.3 pts	Miss
15	ARI @ HOU	HOU	83.9%	+12.4	20–40	+20	7.6 pts	Correct
15	LV @ PHI	PHI	81.8%	+11.3	0–31	+31	19.7 pts	Correct
15	LAC @ KC	LAC	43.7%	-1.9	16–13	-3	1.1 pts	Correct
15	CLE @ CHI	CHI	57.3%	+2.2	3–31	+28	25.8 pts	Correct
15	IND @ SEA	SEA	65.1%	+4.7	16–18	+2	2.7 pts	Correct
15	CAR @ NO	CAR	39.4%	-3.2	17–20	+3	6.2 pts	Miss
15	TEN @ SF	SF	78.1%	+9.6	24–37	+13	3.4 pts	Correct
15	GB @ DEN	DEN	56.0%	+1.8	26–34	+8	6.2 pts	Correct
15	DET @ LAR	LAR	55.3%	+1.6	34–41	+7	5.4 pts	Correct
15	MIN @ DAL	DAL	58.8%	+2.7	34–26	-8	10.7 pts	Miss
15	MIA @ PIT	PIT	56.0%	+1.8	15–28	+13	11.2 pts	Correct
16	LAR @ SEA	SEA	60.8%	+3.3	37–38	+1	2.3 pts	Correct
16	PHI @ WAS	PHI	30.5%	-6.2	29–18	-11	4.8 pts	Correct
16	GB @ CHI	GB	32.8%	-5.4	16–22	+6	11.4 pts	Miss
16	KC @ TEN	KC	31.8%	-5.7	9–26	+17	22.7 pts	Miss
16	TB @ CAR	CAR	52.5%	+0.8	20–23	+3	2.2 pts	Correct
16	BUF @ CLE	BUF	21.5%	-9.7	23–20	-3	6.7 pts	Correct
16	LAC @ DAL	LAC	37.3%	-3.9	34–17	-17	13.1 pts	Correct
16	CIN @ MIA	MIA	60.0%	+3.0	45–21	-24	27.0 pts	Miss
16	NYJ @ NO	NYJ	49.8%	-0.1	6–29	+23	23.1 pts	Miss
16	MIN @ NYG	MIN	40.4%	-2.9	16–13	-3	0.1 pts	Correct
16	JAX @ DEN	DEN	71.7%	+7.0	34–20	-14	21.0 pts	Miss
16	ATL @ ARI	ATL	36.7%	-4.1	26–19	-7	2.9 pts	Correct
16	LV @ HOU	HOU	90.2%	+16.6	21–23	+2	14.6 pts	Correct
16	PIT @ DET	DET	62.9%	+3.9	29–24	-5	8.9 pts	Miss
16	NE @ BAL	NE	43.6%	-1.9	28–24	-4	2.1 pts	Correct
16	SF @ IND	IND	67.7%	+5.6	48–27	-21	26.6 pts	Miss
17	DAL @ WAS	DAL	42.2%	-2.4	30–23	-7	4.6 pts	Correct
17	DET @ MIN	DET	34.2%	-4.9	10–23	+13	17.9 pts	Miss
17	DEN @ KC	DEN	26.3%	-7.7	20–13	-7	0.7 pts	Correct
17	HOU @ LAC	HOU	48.2%	-0.5	20–16	-4	3.5 pts	Correct
17	BAL @ GB	GB	62.9%	+3.9	41–24	-17	20.9 pts	Miss
17	SEA @ CAR	SEA	26.6%	-7.6	27–10	-17	9.4 pts	Correct
17	NE @ NYJ	NE	22.6%	-9.2	42–10	-32	22.8 pts	Correct
17	NO @ TEN	NO	45.2%	-1.4	34–26	-8	6.6 pts	Correct
17	TB @ MIA	TB	48.3%	-0.5	17–20	+3	3.5 pts	Miss
17	ARI @ CIN	CIN	65.0%	+4.7	14–37	+23	18.3 pts	Correct
17	JAX @ IND	IND	57.2%	+2.2	23–17	-6	8.2 pts	Miss
17	PIT @ CLE	PIT	32.5%	-5.5	6–13	+7	12.5 pts	Miss
17	NYG @ LV	NYG	41.6%	-2.5	34–10	-24	21.5 pts	Correct
17	PHI @ BUF	BUF	57.5%	+2.3	13–12	-1	3.3 pts	Miss
17	CHI @ SF	SF	59.9%	+3.0	38–42	+4	1.0 pts	Correct
17	LAR @ ATL	LAR	28.4%	-6.9	24–27	+3	9.9 pts	Miss
18	CAR @ TB	TB	51.5%	+0.5	14–16	+2	1.5 pts	Correct
18	SEA @ SF	SEA	29.6%	-6.5	13–3	-10	3.5 pts	Correct
18	GB @ MIN	GB	43.5%	-2.0	3–16	+13	15.0 pts	Miss
18	NO @ ATL	ATL	57.7%	+2.3	17–19	+2	0.3 pts	Correct
18	IND @ HOU	HOU	58.8%	+2.7	30–38	+8	5.3 pts	Correct
18	DAL @ NYG	DAL	44.3%	-1.7	17–34	+17	18.7 pts	Miss
18	CLE @ CIN	CIN	62.6%	+3.9	20–18	-2	5.9 pts	Miss
18	TEN @ JAX	JAX	81.3%	+11.0	7–41	+34	23.0 pts	Correct
18	DET @ CHI	DET	39.0%	-3.4	19–16	-3	0.4 pts	Correct
18	WAS @ PHI	PHI	71.7%	+7.0	24–17	-7	14.0 pts	Miss
18	ARI @ LAR	LAR	84.6%	+12.8	20–37	+17	4.2 pts	Correct
18	MIA @ NE	NE	77.6%	+9.3	10–38	+28	18.7 pts	Correct
18	KC @ LV	KC	25.8%	-7.9	12–14	+2	9.9 pts	Miss
18	LAC @ DEN	DEN	71.6%	+6.9	3–19	+16	9.1 pts	Correct
18	NYJ @ BUF	BUF	85.2%	+13.1	8–35	+27	13.9 pts	Correct
18	BAL @ PIT	PIT	50.5%	+0.2	24–26	+2	1.8 pts	Correct

Every miss stays visible. Margins are shown from the home team’s perspective. A tie counts as half a correct pick in the stored accuracy figures.

See this week’s predictions How FORGE works